Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
CEL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 0
ETS
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
DAN
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 3
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 3
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 1
DAN
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
MWA
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MWA
1 - 3
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MWA
3 - 1
CSC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
MWA
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |