Cerro Largo vs Miramar Misiones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 2
LFC
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 1
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar Misiones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 1
CER
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 5
MWA
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 2
PEÑ
14%
22%
64%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FEN
2 - 1
CSM
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DAN
3 - 1
CSM
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |