Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 1
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 5
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 1
CEL
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
ETS
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MWA
4 - 0
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SUD
2 - 1
LFC
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LFC
2 - 2
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ETS
1 - 4
LFC
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LFC
0 - 1
RIV
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
DAN
2 - 1
LFC
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |