Cerro Largo vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
FEN
5 - 1
CEL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
CSM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
JUV
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CER
2 - 3
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
LFC
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 1
RIV
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
FEN
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |