Cerro Largo vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 0
CEL
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CEL
3 - 1
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 1
LFC
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ETS
1 - 0
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
MWA
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
FEN
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BVS
5 - 2
JUV
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 1
DEF
25%
27%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |