Cerro Largo vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
MWA
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
CEL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 0
ETS
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
DAN
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 1
DAN
42%
26%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 0
FEN
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 2
ETS
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FEN
0 - 1
JUN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
REN
2 - 0
FEN
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |