Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CER
0 - 1
CEL
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 0
CEL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 0
PRO
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CEL
3 - 1
PLA
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
CEL
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
BOS
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |