Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 1
CEL
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
ETS
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MWA
4 - 0
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 2
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
CSM
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 1
DEF
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
4 - 1
GAR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
JUV
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
UCH
1 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |