Cerro Largo vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
5 - 1
CEL
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 1
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
CEL
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 0
BOS
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
BOS
3 - 1
DAN
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
DAN
3 - 2
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 1
DAN
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 2
LFC
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 0
DAN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |