Cerro Largo vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
REN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 3
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CSC
0 - 1
CEL
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 1
TAC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
CEL
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 2
DAN
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
DAN
2 - 2
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
DAN
1 - 1
FEN
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 0
DAN
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |