Cerro Largo vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 2
PEÑ
35%
27%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CER
0 - 1
CEL
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 0
CEL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
CSC
3 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ATE
0 - 2
CSC
40%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
CSC
1 - 1
CSY
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 2
CSC
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CSC
2 - 1
ALB
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |