Cerro Largo vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 0
CEL
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
CEN
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 2
CEL
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 0
SUD
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
CEL
51%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
CSC
0 - 4
DEP
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TAC
1 - 0
CSC
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CSC
2 - 2
PLA
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
CSC
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CSC
2 - 1
ORI
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |