Cerro Largo vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 1
CEL
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 0
CAN
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 0
CEL
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 0
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
HFC
3 - 1
CEL
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
CSC
1 - 1
REN
34%
26%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TAC
5 - 1
CSC
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CSC
0 - 0
CEN
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CSY
2 - 0
CSC
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CSC
1 - 0
CSM
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |