Cerro Largo vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
CEL
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 0
CEN
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LFC
2 - 1
CEL
75%
16%
8%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 2
TOR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CSY
2 - 0
CEL
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
CSC
2 - 3
BOS
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 1
CSC
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
CSC
0 - 1
PRO
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
CSC
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CSC
1 - 4
PLA
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |