Cerro Largo vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 3
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BVS
1 - 2
CEL
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 3
CEL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 2
NAC
26%
28%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LFC
2 - 1
CEL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
6 - 1
CSC
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 0
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
CSC
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CSC
3 - 2
BVS
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ETS
3 - 2
CSC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |