Cerro Largo vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 3
JUV
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 0
CEL
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CEL
3 - 1
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 1
LFC
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BVS
0 - 2
MWA
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 0
BVS
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BVS
0 - 1
RIV
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BVS
3 - 4
NAC
17%
25%
58%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BVS
5 - 2
JUV
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |