A. Cerro Águila vs UD Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SOL
1 - 0
OSU
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MAI
2 - 2
SOL
54%
23%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
SOL
0 - 2
VIL
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EST
1 - 3
SOL
33%
25%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SOL
1 - 1
UDR
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VEN
1 - 1
MOR
57%
21%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 1
CAM
63%
18%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
UDB
1 - 0
MOR
36%
24%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
OSU
0 - 1
MOR
25%
23%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
MAI
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |