Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
8º
50
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
CSC
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
CSC
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 0
CSC
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 1
ATE
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
LSC
0 - 2
UMO
5%
13%
82%
|
76 | 15 | 61 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UMO
1 - 0
POT
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BVS
1 - 1
UMO
31%
30%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UMO
2 - 1
REN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 1
UMO
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |