Cerrito vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 0
CSC
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CSC
2 - 2
DAN
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
CSC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CSC
2 - 0
TAC
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 1
CSC
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 4
LFC
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
RIV
0 - 1
SLO
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATE
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
RIV
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIV
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |