Cerrito vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
CSC
2 - 0
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ATE
2 - 0
CSC
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
TAC
1 - 0
CSC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CSC
1 - 0
CEN
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
CSC
1 - 3
JUN
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
ATE
36%
27%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
TAC
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 1
PRO
55%
22%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PLA
3 - 1
PRO
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 1
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |