Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
13º
5º
50
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 1
CSC
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
CSC
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 1
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
CSC
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
ALB
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
JUV
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
PLA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
ALB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
PLA
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 0
SUD
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |