Cerrito vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
CSC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 1
LFC
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
CSC
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 1
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 1
CSC
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
OLI
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
LFC
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
PEÑ
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
REN
0 - 0
PEÑ
19%
27%
55%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEP
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |