Cerrito vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CSC
1 - 1
RIV
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 0
CSC
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CSC
2 - 2
DAN
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
CSC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CSC
2 - 0
TAC
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
JUN
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 3
PEÑ
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 2
PEÑ
16%
22%
62%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
RIV
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |