Cerrito vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
ATE
0 - 1
CSC
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 0
CSC
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 2
CSC
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CSC
2 - 2
PEÑ
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CSC
1 - 1
RIV
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEÑ
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DAN
0 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
JUN
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |