Cerrito vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
CSC
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
CSC
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
6 - 1
CSC
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 0
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
CSC
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
FEN
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FEN
2 - 2
PEÑ
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MWA
2 - 1
FEN
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
FEN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |