Cerrito vs CSyD Cooper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
13º
10º
18
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
CSC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 1
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
CSC
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 1
CSC
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 2
CSC
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CSyD Cooper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
CSC
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 1
COL
26%
29%
46%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CSC
3 - 3
PLA
19%
27%
55%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 1
CSC
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
ATE
21%
29%
50%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | +1 |