Cerrito vs Colón FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
13º
10º
26
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 44.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
CSC
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 0
LUZ
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UMO
3 - 0
CSC
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
CSC
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
JUV
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
COL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
ALB
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
ATE
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
COL
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |