Cerrito vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
8º
22
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
REN
1 - 1
CSC
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 6
CSM
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 3
DEF
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 2
CSC
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 6
UMO
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
BVS
1 - 1
POT
62%
24%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
BVS
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
REN
0 - 1
BVS
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BVS
0 - 1
CSM
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
BVS
61%
23%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |