Cerrito vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
PLA
3 - 1
CSC
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CSC
3 - 3
PRO
50%
24%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
CSC
2 - 0
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ATE
2 - 0
CSC
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
TAC
1 - 0
CSC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
HFC
2 - 3
BOS
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 3
DEP
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 2
BOS
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 0
ROC
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 3
BOS
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |