Cerrito vs Albion FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
13º
10º
23
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CSC
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
SUD
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
LUZ
6 - 0
CSC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
UMO
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
CSC
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Albion FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
2 - 1
ALB
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
COL
63%
22%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 1
ALB
28%
28%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |