Cerrito vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
8º
36
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 1
JUN
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
TAC
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 0
POT
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BVS
3 - 2
CSC
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
POT
1 - 1
ATE
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 0
BVS
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
REN
1 - 2
ATE
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATE
0 - 0
CSM
23%
27%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 1
ATE
69%
21%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |