Cerrito vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CSC
2 - 0
TAC
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
CSC
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CSC
0 - 3
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
CSC
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CSC
0 - 2
ETS
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ATE
4 - 0
CEL
56%
23%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATE
1 - 1
CSM
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ATE
3 - 1
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
ATE
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATE
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |