Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
CER
5 - 0
SAG
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 4
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
VEG
1 - 0
CER
46%
24%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
CER
3 - 2
KAW
33%
22%
45%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
URA
3 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
URA
0 - 0
VEG
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
URA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 1
URA
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCT
1 - 1
URA
51%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |