Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VVA
2 - 0
CER
22%
27%
50%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ZWE
3 - 0
CER
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CER
1 - 1
ROA
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CER
0 - 0
KAM
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
THE
2 - 0
CER
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TOK
1 - 1
ZWE
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JEF
1 - 0
TOK
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOK
0 - 3
JUB
22%
25%
52%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 1
TOK
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 0
TOK
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |