Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CER
3 - 1
URA
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
FCY
2 - 1
CER
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SHI
3 - 3
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
KAA
2 - 1
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CER
1 - 1
GAM
36%
24%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
URA
1 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KAA
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAG
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 2
SAN
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |