Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
OIT
3 - 0
CER
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CER
1 - 0
KAA
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
FCT
1 - 1
CER
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CER
1 - 2
JUB
20%
22%
59%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FCY
2 - 1
CER
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 0
URA
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
TOK
0 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
38%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAG
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
OIT
2 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 3
JEF
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |