Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1998 |
CER
1 - 2
KYO
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
FLU
7 - 0
CER
68%
18%
13%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
CER
2 - 0
JEF
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
VIS
2 - 0
CER
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
CER
1 - 2
TOK
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1998 |
SAN
1 - 2
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
JEF
0 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
SAN
2 - 3
VIS
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
TOK
0 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
SAN
2 - 1
JUB
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |