Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SHI
2 - 1
CER
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
CER
0 - 2
FLU
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
KAR
4 - 0
CER
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
GAM
4 - 0
CER
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
CER
3 - 0
SHI
51%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SAN
1 - 2
KAA
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
JEF
0 - 1
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
SAN
0 - 2
SHI
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
FLU
4 - 3
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
SAN
3 - 1
TOK
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +2 |