Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
KAW
2 - 2
CER
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
CER
2 - 2
URA
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
SHO
0 - 3
CER
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CER
0 - 0
OIT
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SHI
1 - 1
CER
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 3
ALB
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
OIT
2 - 4
SAG
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 3
FCT
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VEG
1 - 1
SAG
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 0
ALB
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |