Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
ROA
3 - 2
CER
26%
26%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
CER
1 - 2
THE
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
AVI
0 - 1
CER
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
CER
3 - 3
VEN
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2008 |
TOK
2 - 0
CER
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
THE
1 - 0
SAG
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
SAG
2 - 1
EHI
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ROA
0 - 1
SAG
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 0
SHO
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2008 |
MIT
2 - 1
SAG
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |