Cerezo Osaka vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAG
2 - 1
CER
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
AVI
58%
25%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CON
1 - 4
CER
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
GAM
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CER
2 - 1
VIS
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
THE
2 - 0
OMI
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
OMI
2 - 1
JEF
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 2
OMI
71%
20%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
OMI
1 - 5
IWA
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
VVA
2 - 0
OMI
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |