Cerezo Osaka vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CER
3 - 1
URA
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
NAG
1 - 3
CER
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
CER
2 - 0
JUB
29%
25%
45%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 2
CER
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
CER
2 - 1
VIS
55%
23%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
OMI
0 - 1
FCT
53%
25%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
KAW
2 - 1
OMI
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
OMI
0 - 1
JEF
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
JUB
2 - 0
OMI
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
OMI
1 - 4
ALB
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |