Cerezo Osaka vs Nara Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 1
CER
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CER
2 - 0
FCY
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
JUB
4 - 3
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 2
CER
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CER
0 - 3
KAA
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nara Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAR
2 - 1
ASC
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 3
SDS
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 14 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NAR
0 - 3
ALB
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 0
SFJ
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 12 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
AVI
9 - 1
NAR
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |