Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CER
1 - 4
KAW
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
KAR
1 - 0
CER
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
TOK
0 - 1
CER
20%
26%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NAG
2 - 0
CER
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
NAG
0 - 3
CER
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GAM
1 - 3
NAG
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VEG
1 - 1
NAG
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NAG
2 - 0
KAR
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NAG
2 - 0
CER
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
NAG
0 - 3
CER
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |