Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
KAA
2 - 2
CER
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
JEF
3 - 2
CER
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
CER
3 - 0
JUB
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
FCY
0 - 0
CER
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
CER
1 - 0
SHO
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
NAG
3 - 1
KAR
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
NAG
2 - 1
SHI
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
FLU
2 - 0
NAG
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
NAG
0 - 1
TOK
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
KAA
1 - 3
NAG
59%
21%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |