League Cup Last 16
Global 3-5
Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KYO
1 - 1
CER
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
RYK
0 - 1
CER
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 3
CER
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 1
CER
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 3
ALB
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
URA
1 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 0
KAA
35%
25%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAC
5 - 0
TOK
51%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 1
CER
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |