Cerezo Osaka vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 2
CER
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
CER
2 - 2
TOK
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
TOK
2 - 2
CER
18%
22%
59%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
CER
4 - 1
AVI
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ROA
0 - 3
CER
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 3
TOK
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
THE
0 - 0
KAT
43%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 1
TOC
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SHO
5 - 0
KAT
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 0
SAG
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |