Cerezo Osaka vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
SHI
0 - 1
CER
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
CER
2 - 2
NAG
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
SAN
0 - 1
CER
60%
22%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
NAG
2 - 6
JUB
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
JUB
2 - 1
GAM
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
JEF
1 - 0
JUB
53%
23%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
JUB
3 - 2
KAA
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
SAN
0 - 0
JUB
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |