League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-8
Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
KAW
1 - 0
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
SHI
1 - 0
CER
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CER
2 - 2
KYO
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
CER
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CER
0 - 0
AVI
55%
23%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCY
1 - 1
JEF
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
JEF
2 - 0
URA
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
OIT
0 - 3
JEF
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
JEF
0 - 0
JUB
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
FCT
2 - 3
JEF
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |