Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
KAA
4 - 3
CER
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CER
1 - 2
OIT
47%
24%
30%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
CER
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CER
4 - 3
FCT
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
CER
1 - 5
KAR
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
JEF
2 - 1
TOK
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
KAA
0 - 1
JEF
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ALB
3 - 3
JEF
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
JEF
2 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
JEF
1 - 1
SHI
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |